Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 6.704859e-05 0.000080 0.000095 0.000112 0.000130 0.000150 0.000173
2025-02-16 5.350166e-05 0.000071 0.000092 0.000117 0.000147 0.000180 0.000220
2025-02-23 4.394007e-05 0.000063 0.000087 0.000117 0.000154 0.000196 0.000248
2025-03-02 3.434627e-05 0.000054 0.000080 0.000113 0.000155 0.000206 0.000270
2025-03-09 2.765689e-05 0.000047 0.000074 0.000110 0.000157 0.000214 0.000288
2025-03-16 2.308418e-05 0.000043 0.000070 0.000110 0.000162 0.000227 0.000311
2025-03-23 1.978575e-05 0.000039 0.000068 0.000110 0.000167 0.000240 0.000335
2025-03-30 1.653503e-05 0.000036 0.000065 0.000109 0.000171 0.000250 0.000356
2025-04-06 1.335271e-05 0.000032 0.000061 0.000106 0.000171 0.000255 0.000371
2025-04-13 1.154068e-05 0.000030 0.000059 0.000107 0.000176 0.000268 0.000394
2025-04-20 8.907268e-06 0.000025 0.000054 0.000102 0.000173 0.000269 0.000403
2025-04-27 7.455458e-06 0.000023 0.000052 0.000102 0.000176 0.000279 0.000422
2025-05-04 5.887085e-06 0.000021 0.000050 0.000101 0.000179 0.000289 0.000444
2025-05-11 5.200505e-06 0.000020 0.000050 0.000105 0.000190 0.000309 0.000481
2025-05-18 4.289430e-06 0.000019 0.000049 0.000105 0.000195 0.000323 0.000509
2025-05-25 3.031210e-06 0.000016 0.000045 0.000101 0.000193 0.000326 0.000521
2025-06-01 2.196359e-06 0.000014 0.000042 0.000099 0.000193 0.000332 0.000537
2025-06-08 1.659009e-06 0.000012 0.000040 0.000098 0.000196 0.000342 0.000560
2025-06-15 1.304308e-06 0.000011 0.000039 0.000099 0.000201 0.000355 0.000586
2025-06-22 9.388519e-07 0.000010 0.000038 0.000098 0.000203 0.000364 0.000607
2025-06-29 6.037266e-07 0.000009 0.000035 0.000095 0.000203 0.000368 0.000621
2025-07-06 4.470726e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000096 0.000208 0.000381 0.000648
2025-07-13 2.305627e-07 0.000007 0.000031 0.000091 0.000204 0.000380 0.000655